Virtual Journal

International Workshop on "Coping with Crises in Complex Socio-Economic Systems" (2009)

Mark Buchanan - Prediction and its Limits in Socio-Economic Systems

• Mark Buchanan (2009) Economics: Meltdown Modelling. Nature 460, 680-682

Guido Caldarelli - Statistical Properties of Credit Networks

• G. De Masi, G. Iori, and G. Caldarelli (2006) Fitness model for the Italian interbank market. Physical Review E 74, 066112.
• See also: Forecasting Financial Crisis (FOC) project.

Shlomo Havlin - Efficient Immunization Approaches to Avoid Epidemic Spreading

• Y. Chen, G. Paul, S. Havlin, F. Liljeros, and H. E. Stanley (2008) Finding a better immunization strategy. Physics Review Letters 101(5), 058701.

Dirk Helbing - Cooperation and Conflict in the Prisoner's Dilemma and the Emergence of Norms

• D. Helbing and A. Johansson (2010) Evolutionary dynamics of populations with conflicting interactions: Classification and analytical treatment considering asymmetry and power. Physical Review E 81, 016112.

Thomas Lux - Explaining and Forecasting the Psychological Component of Economic Activity

• Thomas Lux (2009) Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 72(2), 638-655.
• Thomas Lux (2009) Mass pyschology in action: Identification of social interaction effects in the German stock market. Kiel Institute discussion or working paper.

Kai Nagel - Microscopic Simulation of Tsunami-Related Evacuation of the City of Padang

• G. Lämmel, M. Rieser, K. Nagel, H. Taubenböck, G. Strunz, et al. (2008) Emergency Preparedness in the Case of a Tsunami-Evacuation Analysis and Traffic Optimization for the Indonesian City of Padang. Pages 171-182 in: Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2008 (Springer, Berlin).
• G. Lämmel, D. Grether, and K. Nagel (2009) The representation and implementation of time-dependent inundation in large-scale microscopic evacuation simulations. Transportation Research Part C 18(1), 84-98.
• G. Lämmel, H. Klüpfel, and K. Nagel (2010) Risk minimizing evacuation strategies under uncertainty. Fifth International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics, 2010 working paper.

Sorin Solomon- How Do Economies Grow, How Do They Interact, How Do They Fall, and How Do They Recover?

• D. Challet, S. Solomon, and G. Yaari (2009). The Universal Shape of Economic Recession and Recovery after a Shock. Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 3, 2009-36.